95 percent efficacy when it comes to reducing your risk of contracting symptomatic COVID does NOT MEAN 95% of people are protected. It means in a population 100,000, just 1% would get sick & 99% would not.



Why are we presented information in a way that doesn't give us an accurate picture?

At the beginning of the vaccine rollout, government health authorities, big pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer, and mainstream media were beaming out the the idea that the vaccines showed 95 percent efficacy when it comes to reducing your risk of contracting symptomatic COVID. This was the “Relative Risk Reduction.”



“It does not mean that 95% of people are protected from disease with the vaccine”

“If we vaccinated a population of 100 000 and protected 95% of them, that would leave 5000 individuals diseased over 3 months, which is almost the current overall COVID-19 case rate in the UK. Rather, a 95% vaccine efficacy means that instead of 1000 COVID-19 cases in a population of 100 000 without vaccine (from the placebo arm of the abovementioned trials, approximately 1% would be ill with COVID-19 and 99% would not) we would expect 50 cases (99·95% of the population is disease-free, at least for 3 months).”


Below is an excellent video that was put out by the Canadian COVID Care Alliance. They are a group made up of more than one hundred independent doctors, scientists, professors and health care professionals. It explains clearly the difference between Absolute Risk Reduction and Relative Risk Reduction.

Just imagine if the Absolute Risk Reduction was reported and given as much attention as Relative Risk Reduction was, what would things look like? We are forced to ask the question, are we being given an accurate representation of vaccine efficacy?



Along with the information above regarding vaccine efficacy, the risk of dying from COVID is also a factor as to why people are vaccine hesitant. 

For this, many look at the estimated infection fatality rate.

According to a recent paper, that’s still in pre-print form meaning it has not yet been peer-reviewed, the survival rate for people between the ages of 0 and 19 is 99.997%. 

For people 20-29 it’ 99.986%, 40-49 it’s 99.92 percent, for 50-59 it’s 99.73 % and for people 60-69 it’s 99.4%.